
With UFC 88 just a few days away, it’s time to get some picks out there. The cards are so big these days compared to a few years ago that it is really time consuming to put together detailed breakdowns to back up personal picks. The answer of course is to do less work - so let’s give the quick approach a try…
Main Event
Chuck Liddell Vs Rashad Evans- Chuck is a former champion and ultra experienced. Rashad Evans has an unblemished UFC record and has risen as one of the true talents to emerge from the TUF franchise.
Best Guess: Expect Rashad to trade strikes until he realises that it’s The Iceman he’s trading shots with. Rashad will then try to work his wrestling advantage only to be frustrated by Chuck’s take-down defense and defensive striking. Rashad will be out of his comfort zone and he will get caught with some big shots and eventually KO’d. If this fight goes more than 7 1/2 minutes, I will be very surprised. Pick: Chuck by KO
Main Card
Rich Franklin Vs. Matt Hamill- Like Liddell, Rich is a former champion and super experienced in the Octagon. Franklin brings great striking and overall skill with him as he moves up a weight-class from 185lbs to 205 for this fight. Matt Hamill made a strong impression on The Ultimate Fighter and is one of the most experienced wrestlers in the organization. It’s the classic striker vs wrestler match.
Best Guess:Expect Hammill to continue to impress with his striking improvement while still being edged out on the feet by Franklin. Risking getting picked apart standing, Hammill will take Franklin down with little trouble, but will be unable to capitalize. Expect Hamill to be contained by Franklin while on the ground and eventually catch Hammill with a clean punch or a submission from his back. It will likely take all 3 rounds to show that Rich can make waves at 205 even if he can’t get by Anderson Silva @ 185lbs. Pick: Rich Franklin by late round stoppage (strikes or submission)
Yoshiyuki Yoshida Vs Karo Parisyan- This one is billed as a battle of Judo practitioners and that could make it interesting. Karo will be looking to do some damage after dropping his last fight to Thiago Alves when it looked like Parisyan was on the cusp of an elusive Welterweight title shot. Karo is known for his Judo skills but is underrated for his striking, possessing very quick hands and presenting an elusive and frustrating target. Yoshida made quick work of Jon Koppenhaver but Karo is in another league. Even assuming that the Judo contest ends in a draw, Parisyan’s experience level and striking should help him edge this one out. Pick: Karo Parisyan by anything but a decision for a change.
Dan Henderson Vs Rousimar Palhares- Dan Henderson is an MMA legend who is coming off 2 tough losses in the UFC in title matches against Rampage Jackson and Anderson Silva. Palhares is a relative unknown, riding a high following a slick and quick armbar victory over veteran fighter Ivan Salaverry at UFC 84. Palhares looked sharp against a twilighting Salaverry, but will be outmatched against a gritty and hungry Dan Henderson. Look for Palhares to fall victim to Henderson’s size advantage (6′1″ vs 5′8″) and get rocked on his feet and finished. Pick - Henderson by TKO
Martin Kampmann Vs Nate Marquardt- Marquardt is a big 185 with a well rounded game. He tends to do well against ground fighters and has an intelligent fighting style but is not exactly a “finisher”. Kampmann is heading into his second fight in 3 months, coming back from a long injury/surgery layoff and getting a solid test in Marquardt. Kampmann is known for his solid striking and power but is a perfect 4-0 in the UFC with no 3 wins by submission, so he is well rounded too. Kampmann also showed a great chin against Drew McFedries, who as devastating KO power.
Pick:Kampmann by whatever it takes. This is the toughest fight on the card for me to pick but I favour Kampmann’s ability to finish fights.
Undercard
Thiago Tavares Vs Kurt Pellegrino- Pellegrino is tough as nails and one of the grittiest Lightweight fighters in the UFC. he has a solid wrestling base and showed enough BJJ skills to hang with Joe Stevenson, but fell short in his most recent match against the lanky Nate Diaz. Tavares isn’t lanky, but like Diaz, he is a very dangerous submission fighter. Pellegrino is very hungry for the win and may make a mistake in looking to put in a n impressive performance against Tavares. Pick:Tavares by submission.
Tim Boetsch Vs Michael Pratt- Look for Boetsch to bully his way through Pratt ho will be looking for the submission victory. Pick:Tim Boetsch by TKO (round 1)
Dong Hyun Kim Vs. Matt Brown- Kim made elbowed his way to victory against Jason Tan in May and is back to prove he has skill against Matt Brown, the tough competitor from TUF 7. Kim looked very well rounded in his last outing and will have an opportunity to show consistency against Matt Brown, who, with a 10-6 pro record has been an example of hit and miss success. Pick:Dong Hyun Kim by TKO.
Jason Lambert Vs Jason MacDonald - Two of my favorite fighters to watch. Both show a lot of heart in the Octagon and are coming off losses as they enter this match. MacDonald will have a big advantage in his submission game while Lambert traditionally likes the ground and pound approach. The intangible for this fight is the weight cut for Lambert as he makes a drop from 205 to 185. Pick: Jason MacDonald by submission.
Roan Carneiro Vs Ryo Chonan- Chonan is a battle tested warrior how has been through big league competition in the past. Chonan has shown endless heart and an aggressive fighting style that has him either win or lose in exciting fashion. Carneiro is primarily a ground fighter who favors submissions. Both men have shown a lack of consistency in the past.
Pick:This one os a bit of a crap shoot, but going with Chonan as he has been able to frustrate and edge out elite fighters in the past.
Well that’s it for the picks. There are some really interesting fights on this card and when it’s all said and done on September 6th in Atlanta, UFC 88 should be a source of great fan entertainment, even without a title match on the fight card.